實測數據
台灣 — Exness 交易品種相關性 — 60 個交易時段實測矩陣
此報價源中各交易商品的連動走勢,根據 Exness MT5 歷史數據的每日收盤價計算:共 21 種交易商品,測量時間為 11月15日 · 15:46 CST。
開立 Exness 帳戶 →為何相關性對部位規模很重要
在高度相關的交易品種上同時持有兩個未平倉部位,效果等同於持有一個兩倍規模的部位——帳戶對同一波行情承受了兩次曝險。在此樣本中,相關性最高的一組是 US500(S&P 500)與 USTEC(Nasdaq 100),相關係數為 +0.94;負相關性最強的一組則是 GBP/USD 與 USD/CAD,相關係數為 -0.66。交易者若同時做多相關係數為 +0.9 的一組品種中的兩者,實際上只持有一筆交易,而非兩筆。
每日報酬率的相關性(近約 60 個交易時段)
| EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY | AUDUSD | USDCAD | USDCHF | NZDUSD | EURGBP | EURJPY | GBPJPY | AUDJPY | XAUUSD | XAGUSD | USOIL | UKOIL | US500 | US30 | USTEC | DE30 | JP225 | UK100 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.00 | +0.89 | -0.43 | +0.53 | -0.64 | -0.60 | +0.71 | +0.06 | +0.30 | +0.28 | +0.10 | +0.39 | +0.27 | -0.15 | -0.36 | +0.10 | +0.27 | -0.04 | +0.36 | -0.07 | +0.29 |
| GBPUSD | +0.89 | 1.00 | -0.49 | +0.60 | -0.66 | -0.62 | +0.73 | -0.39 | +0.15 | +0.31 | +0.10 | +0.31 | +0.26 | -0.15 | -0.29 | +0.17 | +0.35 | +0.02 | +0.40 | +0.00 | +0.28 |
| USDJPY | -0.43 | -0.49 | 1.00 | -0.36 | +0.45 | +0.41 | -0.35 | +0.20 | +0.73 | +0.68 | +0.55 | -0.06 | -0.02 | +0.09 | +0.32 | +0.16 | -0.06 | +0.23 | -0.10 | +0.27 | -0.15 |
| AUDUSD | +0.53 | +0.60 | -0.36 | 1.00 | -0.58 | -0.31 | +0.68 | -0.23 | +0.02 | +0.11 | +0.58 | +0.35 | +0.40 | -0.34 | +0.03 | +0.47 | +0.51 | +0.37 | +0.47 | +0.34 | +0.38 |
| USDCAD | -0.64 | -0.66 | +0.45 | -0.58 | 1.00 | +0.57 | -0.48 | +0.15 | -0.00 | -0.06 | -0.12 | -0.17 | -0.09 | -0.12 | +0.08 | -0.04 | -0.27 | +0.12 | -0.20 | +0.14 | -0.20 |
| USDCHF | -0.60 | -0.62 | +0.41 | -0.31 | +0.57 | 1.00 | -0.39 | +0.16 | -0.02 | -0.08 | +0.08 | -0.36 | -0.23 | +0.12 | +0.03 | +0.09 | -0.21 | +0.22 | -0.19 | +0.20 | -0.15 |
| NZDUSD | +0.71 | +0.73 | -0.35 | +0.68 | -0.48 | -0.39 | 1.00 | -0.18 | +0.16 | +0.23 | +0.30 | +0.38 | +0.36 | -0.31 | -0.14 | +0.34 | +0.43 | +0.24 | +0.50 | +0.18 | +0.44 |
| EURGBP | +0.06 | -0.39 | +0.20 | -0.23 | +0.15 | +0.16 | -0.18 | 1.00 | +0.27 | -0.11 | -0.02 | +0.10 | -0.01 | +0.04 | -0.10 | -0.17 | -0.20 | -0.11 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.04 |
| EURJPY | +0.30 | +0.15 | +0.73 | +0.02 | -0.00 | -0.02 | +0.16 | +0.27 | 1.00 | +0.93 | +0.66 | +0.23 | +0.19 | -0.02 | +0.07 | +0.24 | +0.15 | +0.22 | +0.17 | +0.24 | +0.06 |
| GBPJPY | +0.28 | +0.31 | +0.68 | +0.11 | -0.06 | -0.08 | +0.23 | -0.11 | +0.93 | 1.00 | +0.69 | +0.19 | +0.20 | -0.03 | +0.11 | +0.32 | +0.23 | +0.27 | +0.22 | +0.30 | +0.08 |
| AUDJPY | +0.10 | +0.10 | +0.55 | +0.58 | -0.12 | +0.08 | +0.30 | -0.02 | +0.66 | +0.69 | 1.00 | +0.25 | +0.34 | -0.23 | +0.31 | +0.56 | +0.41 | +0.54 | +0.33 | +0.55 | +0.21 |
| XAUUSD | +0.39 | +0.31 | -0.06 | +0.35 | -0.17 | -0.36 | +0.38 | +0.10 | +0.23 | +0.19 | +0.25 | 1.00 | +0.87 | -0.44 | -0.09 | +0.33 | +0.40 | +0.27 | +0.40 | +0.28 | +0.28 |
| XAGUSD | +0.27 | +0.26 | -0.02 | +0.40 | -0.09 | -0.23 | +0.36 | -0.01 | +0.19 | +0.20 | +0.34 | +0.87 | 1.00 | -0.47 | -0.04 | +0.50 | +0.47 | +0.50 | +0.42 | +0.47 | +0.30 |
| USOIL | -0.15 | -0.15 | +0.09 | -0.34 | -0.12 | +0.12 | -0.31 | +0.04 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.23 | -0.44 | -0.47 | 1.00 | +0.03 | -0.48 | -0.55 | -0.43 | -0.58 | -0.43 | -0.47 |
| UKOIL | -0.36 | -0.29 | +0.32 | +0.03 | +0.08 | +0.03 | -0.14 | -0.10 | +0.07 | +0.11 | +0.31 | -0.09 | -0.04 | +0.03 | 1.00 | +0.26 | +0.26 | +0.22 | -0.01 | +0.20 | +0.18 |
| US500 | +0.10 | +0.17 | +0.16 | +0.47 | -0.04 | +0.09 | +0.34 | -0.17 | +0.24 | +0.32 | +0.56 | +0.33 | +0.50 | -0.48 | +0.26 | 1.00 | +0.83 | +0.94 | +0.62 | +0.87 | +0.55 |
| US30 | +0.27 | +0.35 | -0.06 | +0.51 | -0.27 | -0.21 | +0.43 | -0.20 | +0.15 | +0.23 | +0.41 | +0.40 | +0.47 | -0.55 | +0.26 | +0.83 | 1.00 | +0.64 | +0.74 | +0.58 | +0.74 |
| USTEC | -0.04 | +0.02 | +0.23 | +0.37 | +0.12 | +0.22 | +0.24 | -0.11 | +0.22 | +0.27 | +0.54 | +0.27 | +0.50 | -0.43 | +0.22 | +0.94 | +0.64 | 1.00 | +0.47 | +0.92 | +0.36 |
| DE30 | +0.36 | +0.40 | -0.10 | +0.47 | -0.20 | -0.19 | +0.50 | -0.13 | +0.17 | +0.22 | +0.33 | +0.40 | +0.42 | -0.58 | -0.01 | +0.62 | +0.74 | +0.47 | 1.00 | +0.45 | +0.79 |
| JP225 | -0.07 | +0.00 | +0.27 | +0.34 | +0.14 | +0.20 | +0.18 | -0.13 | +0.24 | +0.30 | +0.55 | +0.28 | +0.47 | -0.43 | +0.20 | +0.87 | +0.58 | +0.92 | +0.45 | 1.00 | +0.27 |
| UK100 | +0.29 | +0.28 | -0.15 | +0.38 | -0.20 | -0.15 | +0.44 | -0.04 | +0.06 | +0.08 | +0.21 | +0.28 | +0.30 | -0.47 | +0.18 | +0.55 | +0.74 | +0.36 | +0.79 | +0.27 | 1.00 |
+1.00=這些商品每個時段都同向波動;−1.00=走勢相反;接近 0=彼此獨立。綠色為正相關,紅色為負相關;顏色越深,關聯越強。
請仔細閱讀
- 60 筆每日收盤資料為較短的取樣區間 — 數值僅供參考,並非固定值。
- 相關性會隨總體環境變化,並可能在市場承壓時反轉。
- 加密貨幣商品採一週 7 天交易,故予以略去——其每日序列無法與 5 天交易市場逐根對齊。
- 相關性並不代表方向 — 只代表兩者一同變動。
在終端內於 Exness 自有的 MetaTrader 5 報價源及品種規格上測量,按排程刷新。所有數據僅供參考,並會隨市場狀況而變化。
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